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2026 MIDTERM
ELECTION COVERAGE

U.S. Senate. Governors. U.S. House. Follow the races, the results, and the balance of power on election night.

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Election Center2026 Midterms

At a glance

The races shaping the next Congress

Follow the newest polls, see which contests are moving, and jump straight to the races that matter.

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Fresh numbers

Latest polls

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U.S. Senate

Michigan

Trafalgar Group (R) · Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2026

Abdul El-Sayed47%
Mike Rogers46%
D +1
U.S. Senate

Idaho

Peak Insights (R) · Oct 13–15, 2026

Jim Risch54%
Todd Achilles27%
R +27
U.S. Senate

Florida

Targoz Market Research · Oct 26–29, 2026

Ashley Moody52%
Angie Nixon43%
R +9

Race outlook

Election ratings

Current official outlook

A clear view of race competitiveness.

The Political Nerd ratings show the current competitiveness of 2026 Senate and governor races across a spectrum from Solid Democratic through Toss-Up to Solid Republican.

Solid DToss-upSolid R

Current official ratings

Senate balance

56DEM
0TOSS-UP
44GOP

Democrats require 51 seats for control. Republicans require 50 seats with the Republican vice president providing the tie-breaking vote in a 50–50 Senate.

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Build your own map

Explore your 2026 scenario

Start with The Political Nerd's current Senate or governors ratings, change the races you want, and see how the map and balance respond.

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Worth watching

Key races

GovernorToss-Up

Georgia

Keisha Lance Bottoms(D)vs.
Rick Jackson(R)
General election
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GovernorToss-Up

Nevada

Aaron Ford(D)vs.
Joe Lombardo(R)
General election
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U.S. SenateLean Democratic

Alaska

Mary Peltola(D)vs.
Dan Sullivan(R)
General election
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